NEW ORLEANS — One year ago, scientists made a surprisingly concrete prediction: Before 2025 was out, they said, Axial volcano — a submerged seamount near Oregon in the Northern Pacific Ocean — would erupt.
That hasn’t happened. But it still might — in 2026.
Scientists haven’t yet come up with a reliable way to forecast a volcanic eruption, particularly not months or years in advance. Last year, researchers hoped they’d identified the right pattern of data to anticipate Axial’s eruption. Now, they’re turning back to the data to hunt for more clues.
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