Why the US stock market may have been right about Iran all along

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New York  — 

Investors have long viewed the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a “tail risk” event — the kind of thing that was highly unlikely to happen but would be so catastrophic that you can’t afford to be unprepared for it. As black swans go, Hormuz closing for weeks or months would be an economic disaster on par with a global pandemic.

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